The foundations of the Banbury Property Market over the summer have continued to be principally sound; yet the existing political macroclimate means that the critical element of consumer confidence has been reduced and that is triggering some potential Banbury property buyers and Banbury house sellers to falter slightly and hang fire making any firm decisions on property.
With record low interest rates at 0.75%, low unemployment rates of 3.8%, and decent mortgage availability (even those with low deposits - there were 224 mortgage deals available on the day of writing this article where only a 5% deposit was required and 5 main stream lenders that would offer 100% no deposit mortgages), Banbury buyers have a lot going in their favour, aside from the perceived political uncertainty.
Interestingly, Rightmove have stated there are more properties for sale today in the Country, than at any time since 2016, and Banbury follows that trend. Even with that in mind, property values have remained reasonably stable as The Land Registry has just released its House Price Index for Banbury and the surrounding locality and it makes very interesting reading.
Overall, property values in the Banbury area are 2.6% lower
than a year ago as the average property value in Banbury now stands at £344,600.
When I looked at the types of Banbury properties, a slightly different picture appeared ..
Banbury Detached homes dropped by 2.3%
Banbury Semi-detached homes dropped by 2.1%
Banbury Terraced/Town-House dropped by 2.7%
Banbury Flats/Apartments dropped by 5%
and splitting down the types of Banbury into property types ..
Banbury Detached £515,000
Banbury Semi-Detached £293,000
Banbury Terraced/Town-House £258,100
Banbury Flats/Apartments £165,400
Yet, Banbury Property Market Blog readers will know I always like to measure the health of the Banbury property market not only by house prices but transaction levels as well ..
1,186 properties were sold in the last year in Banbury,
lower than the 10-year average of 1,257 properties per annum
Considering the uncertainty the Country has been through in the last three years with the ‘B’ word issue, I don’t think that’s too bad and shows the underlying resilience of the Banbury property market.
Now looking forward towards the end of the year .. how will Banbury house values change under the new Prime Minister?
Banbury buy-to-let landlords and Banbury first-time buyers seem to be sustaining their preceding activity levels, which is heartening news. It’s quite conceivable that both cohorts are presently profiting from the marginally increased numbers of Banbury homes on the market, which not only offers them greater choice, but aids with their negotiations. The suggested Stamp Duty changes made me look at previous Stamp Duty changes in the last decade and their effects have been rather short term.
That means those selling their homes in Banbury need to be realistic with their pricing, and, as most sellers also buy a property, what you might lose on your sale you will make up on the purchase.
BoJo, Brexit … to be honest are all short-term distractions from the long-term issues of the UK and Banbury property market. Until we start building at least 300,000 properties a year to meet the demand for UK property, demand will always outstrip supply, meaning irrespective of short-term fluctuations that may (or may not) be caused by domestic and world events (including the ‘B’ word’), prices will always in the medium to long term remain stable and increase.