The foundations of the Oxford Property Market over the summer have continued to be principally sound; yet the existing political macroclimate means that the critical element of consumer confidence has been reduced and that is triggering some potential Oxford property buyers and Oxford house sellers to falter slightly and hang fire making any firm decisions on property.
With record low interest rates at 0.75%, low unemployment rates of 3.8%, and decent mortgage availability (even those with low deposits - there were 224 mortgage deals available on the day of writing this article where only a 5% deposit was required and 5 main stream lenders that would offer 100% no deposit mortgages), Oxford buyers have a lot going in their favour, aside from the perceived political uncertainty.
Interestingly, Rightmove have stated there are more properties for sale today in the Country, than at any time since 2016, and Oxford follows that trend. Even with that in mind, property values have remained reasonably stable as The Land Registry has just released its House Price Index for Oxford and the surrounding locality and it makes very interesting reading.
Overall, property values in the Oxford area are 4.8% higher
than a year ago as the average property value in Oxford now stands at £512,300.
When I looked at the types of Oxford properties, a slightly different picture appeared .
- Oxford Detached homes rose by 5.3%
- Oxford Semi-detached homes rose by 5.7%
- Oxford Terraced/Town-House rose by 5.3%
- Oxford Flats/Apartments rose by 2.9%
and splitting down the types of Oxford into property types ..
- Oxford Detached £822,800
- Oxford Semi-Detached £485,900
- Oxford Terraced/Town-House £464,100
- Oxford Flats/Apartments £333,500
Yet, Oxford Property Market Blog readers will know I always like to measure the health of the Oxford property market not only by house prices but transaction levels as well
1,392 properties were sold in the last year in Oxford,
lower than the 10-year average of 1,964 properties per annum
Considering the uncertainty the Country has been through in the last three years with the ‘B’ word issue, I don’t think that’s too bad and shows the underlying resilience of the Oxford property market
Now looking forward towards the end of the year .. how will Oxford house values change under the new Prime Minister?
Oxford buy-to-let landlords and Oxford first-time buyers seem to be sustaining their preceding activity levels, which is heartening news. It’s quite conceivable that both cohorts are presently profiting from the marginally increased numbers of Oxford homes on the market, which not only offers them greater choice, but aids with their negotiations. The suggested Stamp Duty changes made me look at previous Stamp Duty changes in the last decade and their effects have been rather short term.
That means those selling their homes in Oxford need to be realistic with their pricing, and, as most sellers also buy a property, what you might lose on your sale you will make up on the purchase.
BoJo, Brexit … to be honest are all short-term distractions from the long-term issues of the UK and Oxford property market. Until we start building at least 300,000 properties a year to meet the demand for UK property, demand will always outstrip supply, meaning irrespective of short-term fluctuations that may (or may not) be caused by domestic and world events (including the ‘B’ word’), prices will always in the medium to long term remain stable and increase.
Joe Wright | Associate
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